Victoria on edge as record-breaking heat pushes temperatures towards 50°C

27 January, 2026

Victoria is bracing for one of the most extreme heat events in its history, with temperatures forecast to approach 50°C in parts of the state and Melbourne set to endure its hottest day since the Black Saturday disaster of 2009.

Northern towns are expected to bear the brunt of the searing heat, with Mildura forecast to reach an extraordinary 49°C, placing it on the verge of a new statewide temperature record. Swan Hill is also facing near-record conditions, while Melbourne is expected to climb to around 45°C, pushing the limits of infrastructure, health services and emergency response systems.

Authorities have warned that the extreme heat dramatically increases the risk of fast-moving and uncontrollable bushfires. Emergency services are already battling an active blaze near Carlisle River in the Otways, with officials describing the coming conditions as “intense, dangerous and unpredictable”.

Police and State Emergency Service crews have conducted door-to-door evacuations across communities in the Greater Otway region, urging residents to leave before nightfall. Towns including Barongarook, Beech Forest, Gellibrand and surrounding areas have been placed on high alert as shifting winds and soaring temperatures threaten to accelerate fire spread.

Fire commanders have cautioned that under such extreme heat, suppression efforts may be severely limited. The priority, they say, will be the protection of lives rather than property. Aircraft, interstate firefighting crews and international support have been deployed, but authorities stress that no level of preparation can fully neutralise the dangers posed by these conditions.

A total fire ban has been declared across Victoria, while national parks and state forests have been closed. Emergency relief centres have been established to accommodate evacuees, including facilities for livestock and domestic animals.

As Victoria confronts another brutal reminder of its vulnerability to extreme weather, authorities are urging residents to act early, remain informed, and take all warnings seriously.

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